Sunday, August 25, 2013

How Your Retirement Package Compares to Members of Congress

How Your Retirement Package Compares to Members of Congress
 
Published: Tuesday, 12 Mar 2013 | 2:21 PM ET




 
 
 


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While extending the payroll tax cut through the end of last year, members of Congress last fall took what many feel was a long overdue whack at the cost of their retirement plan. They bumped up the rate at which federal employees contribute to their pension plan, saving an estimated $15 billion over the next 11 years.

They also made sure that none of the increase applied to themselves. Anyone in service before the law went into effect would pay into the pension plan at the old rate.
For all the talk you hear from Capitol Hill about running government more like a business, Congress has a retirement plan that would make any Fortune 500 executive blush. Members can retire younger, having contributed fewer of their own dollars, than almost any worker in the country — even more than the generous terms other federal workers get.

At a time when traditional pensions are disappearing and many workers are struggling to save for retirement, the Federal Employees' Retirement System (FERS), an old-school defined benefit pension program, pays 215 former congressmen and women an average of $39,576, for an average of 16 years of service, according to a recent Congressional Research Service report.

That's about what the average private-sector worker makes in retirement from all sources after a lifetime of work, according to the Employees Benefits Research Institute. The average income that worker gets from a pension is about $8,800 — if they have one. In 2010, fewer than 15 percent of private sector employees were enrolled in a defined-benefit pension.
"It's not keeping pace with what's happening in the private sector," said Veronique de Rugy, a senior researcher with George Mason University's Mercatus Center. "It's not sustainable."
(Read More: Latest GOP Budget Is Ambitious, Unlikely to Pass)

It's inaccurate, in fact, to refer a single retirement plan, since any senator or representative elected after 1986 has access to three: Social Security, a 401(k) program that matches 5 percent of their contributions up to $17,500, and FERS, which as the name implies covers anyone paid from the federal till.
FERS alone is a plan any U.S. worker would envy. As Jim Kessler, co-founder of the think tank Third Way and a former congressional aide, said, "It's not wrong to have three plans, but the matching is one-to-one for two of them and the other [FERS] is one-to-14."

(Read More: Despite Gains, Many Still Cut Spending)
As a result, all federal employees get a return on their FERS contributions at a rate that's almost double what other workers do. (See chart.) But thanks to a faster accrual rate granted to elected employees—how fast the value of their benefits pile up—members of Congress even get a higher percentage payout on FERS for the same time served than other federal workers do.
According to calculations by Pete Sepp, executive vice president of the National Taxpayers Union, who has been tracking congressional benefits for decades, an executive branch employee with 10 years of service and who is retiring at age 62 this year would begin his pension at roughly $15,600. But a member of Congress of identical age, salary and service would begin at approximately $26,600, reflecting his higher contribution. But for his extra $11,000 in the first year's benefit, the lawmaker will have contributed only $8,350 more to the plan.


Defenders of the system point out that elected politicians have less job security than appointees like our executive branch workers. Sepp doesn't buy it. "Not only do you get a lot more in benefits for the extra you pay," he said, "but how many Cabinet secretaries stay in government for even eight years?"
Some critics say congressional retirement plans are not only too numerous and too generous, but the wrong kind. One of them is Republican Rep. Mike Coffman, who has put forward a bill with a fellow Coloradan, Democrat Jared Polis, that would end FERS.
"It makes no sense for Congress to continue to reward itself using taxpayer dollars, with a defined benefit plan when ... much of the country has moved to a defined contribution plan like a 401K," Coffman said in a statement earlier this year.

But as Washington is consumed with the sequester, the chances that Coffman and Polis' bill, or the $25 million we spend to support our congressional retirees, will get much notice. More pundits have teed off on the fact that our senators and representatives—the very people charged with averting the automatic cuts to the federal budget—are among the few federal employees who won't be touched by them.
Congress didn't enjoy plush pensions until 1946, when it was thought that a gold-plated plan would induce members to cede their seats to young men who had been galvanized by the war. But if the current deal is no longer gold-plated, said Sepp, "it's silver-plated, and it hasn't been attractive enough to get them rotated out of office."

(Read More: Rarity: House, Senate Work on Budget at Once)

Monday, August 19, 2013

Stars aligned for 'serious' US correction, analyst says

Stars aligned for 'serious' US correction, analyst says

   
 
Published: Tuesday, 13 Aug 2013 | 1:43 AM ET
 
By: | Writer for CNBC.com















 
Monday, 12 Aug 2013 | 6:15 PM ET 
 
Jack Bouroudjian, Bull and Bear Partners CEO, says there is no reason for the U.S. Fed to begin tapering now, and explains why he is concerned about the market for the next couple of month.
As U.S. stocks ease back from record highs this week, more and more traders see the S&P 500 as overvalued and are pricing in a "serious correction."

Jack Bouroudjian, CEO of financial services holding company Bull and Bear Partners, told CNBC's Asia Squawk Box on Tuesday he was the most bearish he has ever been on the U.S. stock market.
"The market is overvalued and we've hit an inflection point. Unless we see some real strong growth numbers coming out of the economy, I'm looking at a 10 percent correction between now and October. It's time to be very defensive," he said.
Bouroudjian said the market's notional value has become vastly inflated versus the country's total gross domestic product on a historical basis, which is a red flag and could herald an imminent correction.


"Equities have historically traded at a discount to GDP except for two times in the last 50 years," he said. "In the late 1990's we traded at 148 percent over GDP, and in 2007 we traded at 118 percent over. Unfortunately, both times were followed by a serious correction. We are now at 110 percent."
"The time has come to say that the 'easy' money in equities might be behind us unless we see real growth in the GDP numbers and forecasts increase for top line revenue from corporate America over the next couple years," he added.

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Bouroudjian's comments underscore the cautious tone surrounding the U.S. stock market that has emerged recently, as industry watchers start to doubt just how long the good times can last. Wall Street traders have also flagged several occurrences of the 'Hindenburg Omen' in the past few weeks, a technical indicator which predicts the potential of a financial market crash.


The S&P 500 index is up over 18 percent since the start of the year, boosted by more signs of an economic recovery, particularly in the housing market and employment, although it has in the past week eased from record highs seen earlier in the month, due to thin summer trading volumes and continued worries over Fed tapering.

According to Bouroudjian, another trigger point for a market correction could be the appointment of a new Federal Reserve chairman after Ben Bernanke's term expires in January.
"Twice in my investment lifetime, we have changed the Fed chairman. We changed it when (Paul) Volcker changed to (Alan) Greenspan (in 1987) and when Greenspan changed to Bernanke (in 2006). Both times were followed by a serious correction in the market," he said.


"I'm not saying it will happen again for a third time but I am very defensive because of that too," he added.
—By CNBC's Katie Holliday: Follow her on Twitter

Friday, August 9, 2013

Rethinking the 4-percent retirement rule in uncertain market

Rethinking the 4-percent retirement rule in uncertain market

Published: Tuesday, 6 Aug 2013 | 11:56 AM ET
By: | CNBC Senior Commodities Correspondent and Personal Finance Correspondent
















Rene Mansi | E+ | Getty Images
 
It may seem like a fairly safe bet. Withdraw no more than 4 percent from your retirement savings each year, and you'll have enough to last the rest of your life.
After all, many people's biggest fear in facing retirement is the possibility of outliving their money. To make sure retirees have enough money, many financial advisors have relied on a rule that a nest egg should hold out as long as they withdraw a maximum of 4 percent annually.
But some certified financial planners now say the so-called 4 percent rule could put your retirement savings at risk.


"I don't think the 4 percent rule is as feasible today as it was in the past, and the reason for that is because the market returns haven't been as consistent as we've seen in the past," said Richard Coppa, managing director of Wealth Health.

The rule, calculated in the 1990s, was based on a model portfolio that contained a certain mix of stocks and bonds: 60 percent large-cap stocks and 40 percent intermediate-term government bonds.
Times have changed, though. And with historically low bond yields and a volatile stock market, the rule may no longer apply.

"In the last decade, we've seen a dot-com bubble, we've seen a real estate bubble, we've seen a financial crisis—and all of that impacts the types of returns we're getting on both stocks and bonds," Coppa said.

To make sure clients don't outlive their savings, Coppa advises them to get a handle on their cash flow. Managing income and expenses in retirement is more important than relying on any rule, he said. Bottom line, knowing what you'll spend is the best way to determine what you'll be able to withdraw.

But Doug Lockwood, a certified financial planner with Harbor Lights Financial, said it is possible for retirees to withdraw 4 percent a year from savings and have the money last—as long as the mix of assets is well-diversified. A model portfolio of 60 percent stocks and 40 percent bonds could work, depending on the type of equities.
"You have to look at not only interest rates and bond rates that you can draw upon, but where am I getting my income from my equities," Lockwood said. "At that point, you have to look at dividend-paying stocks to grab that equity yield, which is quite frankly a better bet these days ([han bond yields]."

Depending on age and risk tolerance, Lockwood said, a 4 percent withdrawal rate is a good guideline for gauging whether you'll have enough money in retirement. But also consider what effect taxes and inflation have on your investments.

"With inflation and taxes, that investor ... has to be able to make at least a 7 percent return on average to be able to get that 4 percent in their pocket. That can be challenging at times," Lockwood said. "A lot of folks are just not invested appropriately to be able to address that type of need."
But Lockwood and Coppa agree that the most important factor in not outliving your nest egg is to save more. Even increasing your retirement contributions to reach the maximum annual limit for 401(k)s and IRAs may not be enough, so consider adding more money to taxable accounts earmarked for retirement.
In the end, how much money you put in will ultimately determine how much you'll have to take out.
By CNBC's Sharon Epperson. Follow her on Twitter